A Fresh Take on CRE

Deutsche Bank Commercial Real Estate Outlook 1Q 2009

Sorry for the delay in getting timely information like this out there. Again, like last quarter, not too many big surprises in the DB outlook. Some items of note:


  • Deliquency rates on older loans have greatly increased, coming close the deliquency rates on more recent loans.
  • Monthly deliquencies are at a historic high.

  • Hotel deliquencies and retail deliquencies are way up and multi-family deliquencies are the highest to date.

  • Declining property prices pose a significant threat to loans needing to refinance over the next decade.

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